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Musical Chairs REVISITED_v2.nlogo
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;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;
;;; GNU GENERAL PUBLIC LICENSE ;;;
;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;
;; The Musical Chairs model - A model of the interaction between farming and herding (REVISITED v2)
;; Copyright (C) 2016 Andreas Angourakis ([email protected])
;;
;; This program is free software: you can redistribute it and/or modify
;; it under the terms of the GNU General Public License as published by
;; the Free Software Foundation, either version 3 of the License, or
;; (at your option) any later version.
;;
;; This program is distributed in the hope that it will be useful,
;; but WITHOUT ANY WARRANTY; without even the implied warranty of
;; MERCHANTABILITY or FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE. See the
;; GNU General Public License for more details.
;;
;; You should have received a copy of the GNU General Public License
;; along with this program. If not, see <http://www.gnu.org/licenses/>.
;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;
;;;;; BREEDS ;;;;
;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;
breed [ stakeholders stakeholder ]
;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;
;;; VARIABLES ;;;
;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;
globals
[
totalPatches
;;; modified parameters
initH initF
intGrowthF intGrowthH maxExtGrowthF maxExtGrowthH
hrmi herdingIntegration farmingIntegration
;;; counters and final measures
countLandUseF countLandUseH
competitions landUseChangeEvents
farmingDemand farmingGrowth farmingDeterrence farmingBalance
herdingDemand herdingGrowth herdingDeterrence herdingBalance
meanFarmingIntensity meanHerdingIntensity
meanFarmingIndependence meanHerdingIndependence
]
patches-own [ landUse myStakeholder contenders ]
stakeholders-own [ hasLand activity intensity independence ]
;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;
;;; SETUP ;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;
;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;
to setup
clear-all
set totalPatches count patches
;;; setup parameters depending on the type of experiment
if (typeOfExperiment = "random")
[
; set random seed
let aSeed new-seed
random-seed aSeed
set seed aSeed
set intGrowthF 0.01 + random-float farming_intrinsic_growth_rate
set maxExtGrowthF 0.001 + random-float max_farming_extrinsic_growth_rate
set farmingIntegration random-float 1
set intGrowthH 0.01 + random-float herding_intrinsic_growth_rate
set maxExtGrowthH 0.001 + random-float max_herding_extrinsic_growth_rate
set herdingIntegration random-float 1
set initH random round ((init_herding / 100) * totalPatches)
set initF random round ((init_farming / 100) * totalPatches)
set hrmi ((1 + (random-float 10) ) / (1 + (random-float 10) )) ;; set a random value between 0.1 and 10 (around 1)
]
if (typeOfExperiment = "defined by GUI")
[
; set random seed
random-seed seed
set intGrowthF farming_intrinsic_growth_rate
set maxExtGrowthF max_farming_extrinsic_growth_rate
set farmingIntegration farming_integration
set intGrowthH herding_intrinsic_growth_rate
set maxExtGrowthH max_herding_extrinsic_growth_rate
set herdingIntegration herding_integration
set initH round ((init_herding / 100) * totalPatches)
set initF round ((init_farming / 100) * totalPatches)
set hrmi herding_relative_max_intensity
]
if (typeOfExperiment = "defined by expNumber")
[
; set random seed
let aSeed new-seed
random-seed aSeed
set seed aSeed
load-experiment
]
;;; set land use according to the parameter setting (position is arbitrary and has no consequence)
ask patches [ set landUse "N" set myStakeholder nobody set contenders (turtle-set) ]
ask n-of initF patches
[
set landUse "F"
sprout-stakeholders 1
[
set hidden? true
set hasLand true
set activity "F"
set intensity random-float 1
set independence random-float 1
]
set myStakeholder one-of stakeholders-here
]
ask n-of initH patches with [landUse = "N"]
[
set landUse "H"
sprout-stakeholders 1
[
set hidden? true
set hasLand true
set activity "H"
set intensity random-float hrmi
set independence random-float 1
]
set myStakeholder one-of stakeholders-here
]
;;; initialize visualization
update_visualization
reset-ticks
end
;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;
;;; CYCLE ;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;
;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;
to go
;;; This procedure is the cycle of the model (what happens during one "tick").
reset-counters
growth
landUse-expansion
check_competitions
update_visualization
tick
if ticks > endSimulation [stop]
end
to reset-counters
;;; This procedure reset all counters which are used either during the cycle or summarized at the "update-visualization" procedure.
set farmingDemand 0
set herdingDemand 0
set farmingGrowth 0
set farmingDeterrence 0
set herdingGrowth 0
set herdingDeterrence 0
set competitions 0
set landUseChangeEvents 0
end
to growth
;;; This procedure calculates the demand for each land use class, based on both the intrinsic and extrinsic growth rates of each of them.
;;; Note that growth rates are dependent on parameters, but also on the context, and may vary from one "tick" to another.
;;; FARMING
;;; Intrinsic Demand
ask patches with [landUse = "F"]
[
if ( random-float 1 <= intGrowthF )
[
sprout-stakeholders 1
[
set hidden? true
set hasLand false ;;; still landless
set activity "F"
set intensity [intensity] of myStakeholder
set independence [independence] of myStakeholder
]
set farmingDemand farmingDemand + 1
]
]
;;; Extrinsic Demand
let extF (round (maxExtGrowthF * ( totalPatches - countLandUseF ) ) )
repeat extF
[
ask patch 0 0
[
sprout-stakeholders 1
[
set hidden? true
set hasLand false ;;; still landless
set activity "F"
set intensity random-float 1
set independence random-float 1
]
]
set farmingDemand farmingDemand + 1
]
;;; HERDING
;;; Intrinsic Growth
ask patches with [landUse = "H"]
[
if ( random-float 1 <= intGrowthH )
[
sprout-stakeholders 1
[
set hidden? true
set hasLand false ;;; still landless
set activity "H"
set intensity [intensity] of myStakeholder
set independence [independence] of myStakeholder
]
set herdingDemand herdingDemand + 1
]
]
;;; Extrinsic Demand
let extH (round (maxExtGrowthH * ( totalPatches - countLandUseH ) ) )
repeat extH
[
ask patch max-pxcor max-pycor
[
sprout-stakeholders 1
[
set hidden? true
set hasLand false ;;; still landless
set activity "H"
set intensity random-float 1
set independence random-float 1
]
]
set herdingDemand herdingDemand + 1
]
end
to landUse-expansion
;;; This procedure calls for the expansion procedures of farming and herding, intentionally in this order.
farming-expansion
herding-expansion
end
to farming-expansion
if (any? stakeholders with [ activity = "F" AND hasLand = false ])
[
ask stakeholders with [ activity = "F" AND hasLand = false ]
[
if (any? patches with [landUse != "F"]) ;;; Fit-to-maximum exclusion
[
let me self
ask one-of patches
[
let aPatch self
if (landUse != "F") ;;; Density-dependent exclusion
[
ifelse (landUse = "N")
[
;;; the farming stakeholder will start using the unused land
set landUse "F"
set myStakeholder me
ask me [ set hasLand true move-to aPatch ]
set landUseChangeEvents landUseChangeEvents + 1
set farmingGrowth farmingGrowth + 1
]
[
if ( [independence] of me > (count patches with [landUse = "H"] / totalPatches) ) ;;; Volition-opportunity exclusion
[
;;; the farming stakeholder will start using the pastureland
set landUse "F"
ask myStakeholder [ set hasLand false ]
set myStakeholder me
ask me [ set hasLand true move-to aPatch ]
set landUseChangeEvents landUseChangeEvents + 1
set farmingGrowth farmingGrowth + 1
set herdingDeterrence herdingDeterrence + 1
]
]
]
]
]
]
]
ask stakeholders with [ activity = "F" AND hasLand = false ] [ die ]
end
to herding-expansion
;;; reset herding patches (herds go back not necessarily to the same patch), but keep track of the herding stakeholders that already used the territory
let oldHerdingStakeholders [myStakeholder] of patches with [landUse = "H"]
ask patches with [landUse = "H"]
[
ask myStakeholder [ set hasLand false ]
set myStakeholder nobody
]
if (any? stakeholders with [ activity = "H" AND hasLand = false ])
[
ask stakeholders with [ activity = "H" AND hasLand = false ]
[
if (any? patches with [myStakeholder = nobody]) ;;; Fit-to-maximum exclusion
[
let me self
let aPatch one-of patches
if (member? me oldHerdingStakeholders)
[
set aPatch one-of patches with [myStakeholder = nobody] ;;; herding stakeholders that already visited the territory do not suffer the Density-dependent exclusion
]
ask aPatch
[
ask me [ move-to aPatch ]
ifelse (myStakeholder = nobody) ;;; Density-dependent exclusion
[
ifelse (landUse = "N")
[
;;; the herding stakeholder will start using the unused land
set landUse "H"
set myStakeholder me
ask me [ set hasLand true ]
set landUseChangeEvents landUseChangeEvents + 1
set herdingGrowth herdingGrowth + 1
]
[
;;; the herding stakeholder will start using the temporally unoccupied land
set myStakeholder me
ask me [ set hasLand true ]
]
]
[
if (landUse = "F")
[
;;; the herding stakeholder will press to use a farming patch
set contenders (turtle-set contenders me)
]
]
]
]
]
]
;;; rangelands not claimed will be considered free land (no land use)
if (any? patches with [landUse = "H" and myStakeholder = nobody] ) [ ask patches with [landUse = "H" and myStakeholder = nobody] [ set landUse "N" ] ]
end
to check_competitions
ask patches with [ landUse = "F" AND count contenders > 0 ]
[
repeat count contenders [ resolve_competition ]
]
ask stakeholders with [ activity = "H" AND hasLand = false ] [ die ]
end
to resolve_competition
;;; set competition conditions
let aPatch self
;;;;; select one farming stakeholder and its supporters, calculate the intensity of the farming land use involved in a land use unit
let defender myStakeholder
let farmingSupporters round (farmingIntegration * ((count stakeholders with [activity = "F"]) - 1))
let farmingSupport 0
if (farmingSupporters > 0) [ set farmingSupport sum [intensity] of n-of farmingSupporters stakeholders with [activity = "F" AND self != defender] ]
let farmingIntensity ([intensity] of myStakeholder + farmingSupport )
;;;;; select one herding stakeholder and its supporters, calculate the intensity of the herding land use to be involved in the same land use unit
;;; get contender and exlude it from contenders
let contender one-of contenders
set contenders contenders with [self != contender]
let herdingSupporters round (herdingIntegration * ((count stakeholders with [activity = "H"]) - 1))
let herdingSupport 0
if (herdingSupporters > 0) [ set herdingSupport sum [intensity] of n-of herdingSupporters stakeholders with [activity = "H" AND self != contender] ]
let herdingIntensity ([intensity] of contender + herdingSupport )
;;;;; calculate the ratio of intensities, the index of opportunity and the incentives for relinquish, all taken from the perspective of herding land use
let ratio_of_intensities (herdingIntensity /(farmingIntensity + herdingIntensity))
let index_of_opportunity ((count patches with [landUse = "F"]) / totalPatches)
let incentives_to_relinquish (1 - (ratio_of_intensities * index_of_opportunity))
ask contender
[
;;; Does the herding stakeholder attempt to replace the farming stakeholder?
ifelse ( independence < incentives_to_relinquish)
;;; No. The herding stakeholder is repressed.
[ die ]
;;; Yes. A competitive situation is produced.
[
set competitions (competitions + 1)
;;; Does the competitive situation evolves into a land use change event?
ifelse (random-float 1 < ratio_of_intensities)
;;; Yes. The farming stakeholder is repressed.
[
ask defender [ die ]
set myStakeholder contender
set hasLand true
set landUse "H"
set landUseChangeEvents landUseChangeEvents + 1
set herdingGrowth herdingGrowth + 1
set farmingDeterrence farmingDeterrence + 1
]
;;; No. The herding stakeholder is repressed.
[ die ]
]
]
end
to update_visualization
set farmingBalance (farmingGrowth - farmingDeterrence)
set herdingBalance (herdingGrowth - herdingDeterrence)
set countLandUseF count patches with [landUse = "F"]
set countLandUseH count patches with [landUse = "H"]
ifelse (countLandUseF > 0)
[
set meanFarmingIntensity (mean [intensity] of stakeholders with [activity = "F"])
set meanFarmingIndependence (mean [independence] of stakeholders with [activity = "F"])
]
[
set meanFarmingIntensity ""
set meanFarmingIndependence ""
]
ifelse (countLandUseH > 0)
[
set meanHerdingIntensity (mean [intensity] of stakeholders with [activity = "H"]) / hrmi
set meanHerdingIndependence (mean [independence] of stakeholders with [activity = "H"])
]
[
set meanHerdingIntensity ""
set meanHerdingIndependence ""
]
update-patches
end
to update-patches
ask patches
[
set pcolor brown
if (landUse = "F")
[ set pcolor green ]
if (landUse = "H")
[ set pcolor yellow ]
]
end
;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;
;;;;;;;;;;;; Parametrization from file ;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;
;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;
to load-experiment
let FilePath "SensAnalysis//exp//"
let filename (word FilePath "exp_" expNumber ".csv")
file-open filename
while [not file-at-end?]
[
set intGrowthF file-read
set maxExtGrowthF file-read
set farmingIntegration file-read
set intGrowthH file-read
set maxExtGrowthH file-read
set herdingIntegration file-read
set initH file-read
set initF file-read
set hrmi file-read
set endSimulation file-read ;- 1500 ;; use this to cut down the time of simulation (e.g. if the file reads 2000)
]
file-close
end
@#$#@#$#@
GRAPHICS-WINDOW
782
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148
-1
-1
5.35
1
10
1
1
1
0
0
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1
0
99
0
19
0
0
1
ticks
30.0
BUTTON
18
174
81
207
NIL
setup
NIL
1
T
OBSERVER
NIL
NIL
NIL
NIL
1
BUTTON
93
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NIL
go
NIL
1
T
OBSERVER
NIL
NIL
NIL
NIL
1
BUTTON
166
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229
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NIL
go
T
1
T
OBSERVER
NIL
NIL
NIL
NIL
1
SLIDER
-1
335
224
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farming_intrinsic_growth_rate
farming_intrinsic_growth_rate
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herding_relative_max_intensity
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HORIZONTAL
PLOT
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10
745
186
land use
ticks
patches
0.0
10.0
0.0
10.0
true
true
"" ""
PENS
"herding" 1.0 0 -1184463 true "plot countLandUseH" "plot countLandUseH"
"farming" 1.0 0 -13840069 true "plot countLandUseF" "plot countLandUseF"
PLOT
969
186
1144
306
herding independence
NIL
frequency
0.0
200.0
0.0
200.0
false
false
"set-plot-x-range 0 1" "set-plot-y-range -0.01 countLandUseH"
PENS
"independence" 1.0 1 -16777216 true "histogram [independence] of stakeholders with [activity = \"H\"]\nset-histogram-num-bars 10" "histogram [independence] of stakeholders with [activity = \"H\"]"
PLOT
293
187
745
355
events
ticks
events
0.0
10.0
0.0
10.0
true
true
"" ""
PENS
"competitions" 1.0 0 -16777216 true "" "plot competitions"
"landUseChangeEvents" 1.0 0 -5825686 true "" "plot landUseChangeEvents"
SLIDER
-1
441
224
474
max_herding_extrinsic_growth_rate
max_herding_extrinsic_growth_rate
0
1
0.05
0.01
1
NIL
HORIZONTAL
SLIDER
2
557
227
590
farming_integration
farming_integration
0
1
0
0.01
1
NIL
HORIZONTAL
SLIDER
2
590
227
623
herding_integration
herding_integration
0
1
0
0.01
1
NIL
HORIZONTAL
SLIDER
-1
368
224
401
max_farming_extrinsic_growth_rate
max_farming_extrinsic_growth_rate
0
1
0.05
0.01
1
NIL
HORIZONTAL
SLIDER
-1
408
224
441
herding_intrinsic_growth_rate
herding_intrinsic_growth_rate
0
0.1
0.05
0.01
1
NIL
HORIZONTAL
PLOT
969
309
1143
429
farming independence
NIL
frequency
0.0
10.0
0.0
10.0
true
false
"set-plot-x-range 0 1" "set-plot-y-range -0.01 countLandUseF"
PENS
"independence" 1.0 1 -16777216 true "histogram [independence] of stakeholders with [activity = \"F\"]\nset-histogram-num-bars 10" "histogram [independence] of stakeholders with [activity = \"F\"]"
PLOT
752
187
912
307
herding intensity
NIL
frequency
0.0
10.0
0.0
10.0
false
false
"set-plot-x-range 0 hrmi\nset-histogram-num-bars 10" "set-plot-y-range -0.01 countLandUseH"
PENS
"default" 1.0 1 -2674135 true "histogram [intensity] of stakeholders with [activity = \"H\"]" "histogram [intensity] of stakeholders with [activity = \"H\"]"
PLOT
752
309
912
429
farming intensity
NIL
frequency
0.0
10.0
0.0
10.0
false
false
"set-plot-x-range 0 1\nset-histogram-num-bars 10" "set-plot-y-range -0.01 countLandUseF"
PENS
"default" 1.0 1 -955883 true "histogram [intensity] of stakeholders with [activity = \"F\"]" "histogram [intensity] of stakeholders with [activity = \"F\"]"
PLOT
304
356
745
495
balance
NIL
NIL
0.0
10.0
0.0
10.0
true
true
"" ""
PENS
"farming agents" 1.0 0 -13791810 true "" "plot farmingBalance"
"herding agents" 1.0 0 -10873583 true "" "plot herdingBalance"
"0" 1.0 0 -16777216 true "" "plot 0"
MONITOR
224
331
291
368
NIL
intGrowthF
4
1
9
MONITOR
224
368
299
405
NIL
maxExtGrowthF
4
1
9
MONITOR
224
405
293
442
NIL
intGrowthH
4
1
9
MONITOR
224
441
301
478
NIL
maxExtGrowthH
4
1
9
MONITOR
228
493
278
530
NIL
hrmi
4
1
9
MONITOR
227
552
310
589
NIL
farmingIntegration
4
1
9
MONITOR
227
589
310
626
NIL
herdingIntegration
4
1
9
MONITOR
688
62
745
99
patches
totalPatches
0
1
9
MONITOR
465
495
557
532
NIL
farmingGrowth
2
1
9
MONITOR
561
495
662
532
NIL
farmingDeterrence
2
1
9
MONITOR
465
534
557
571
NIL
herdingGrowth
2
1
9
MONITOR
562
534
662
571
NIL
herdingDeterrence
2
1
9
MONITOR
687
147
780
184
farming (% patches)
100 * countLandUseF / totalPatches
2
1
9
MONITOR
912
222
962
259
average
meanHerdingIntensity
2
1
9
MONITOR
914
350
964
387
average
meanFarmingIntensity
2
1
9
MONITOR
1144
224
1194
261
average
meanHerdingIndependence
2
1
9